FXUS62 KCAE 061751
AFDCAE

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE COLUMBIA SC
151 PM EDT SAT SEP 6 2008

.SYNOPSIS...
REMAINS OF TROPICAL STORM HANNA WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM
THE REGION TODAY WITH CLOUDS AND WINDS DIMINISHING THROUGH THE
DAY. WEAK HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTROL THE REGION FOR SUNDAY AND
MONDAY WITH A COLD FRONT WILL APPROACHING THE REGION TUESDAY.

&&

.NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/...
TROPICAL STORM HANNA CONTINUES TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE FORECAST AREA
WITH WINDS AND CLOUDS DIMINISHING. WITH THE CLOUD COVER LESS THAN
PREVIOUSLY EXPECTED WILL SEE TEMPERATURES RISE A BIT ABOVE
PREVIOUS EXPECTATIONS...TOPPING OUT IN THE LOWER 90S FOR MOST
LOCATION. WINDS WILL ALSO DIMINISH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON WITH
SPEEDS AROUND 10 MPH EXPECTED. WILL UPDATE THE FORECAST TO REMOVE
MENTION OF SHOWERS IN NORTHERN LOCALES AND ADJUST TEMPERATURES AND
CLOUDS. UPDATE OUT MOMENTARILY.

&&

.SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY/...
DRY WEATHER OVERNIGHT INTO MONDAY. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED RAINFALL
BEGINNING AGAIN MONDAY AFTERNOON AS ONSHORE FLOW STRENGTHENS. HIGHS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY SHOULD BE ABLE TO MAKE IT INTO THE LOWER 90S.

&&

.LONG TERM /MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE LONG TERM PERIOD.

A SHORTWAVE DISTURBANCE CURRENTLY OVER THE NORTH PACIFIC WILL PUSH
A COLD FRONT THROUGH SOUTH CAROLINA AND THE CENTRAL SAVANNAH BASIN
TUESDAY. MODEL GUIDANCE IS IN GOOD AGREEMENT IN PUSHING THE FRONT
THROUGH THE REGION OVERNIGHT TUESDAY INTO WEDNESDAY.

COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN BEHIND THE COLD FRONT WEDNESDAY...
AND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN FOR THE REST OF THE FORECAST PERIOD.

THE FRONT WILL STALL SOUTH OF THE REGION WEDNESDAY AND WILL SERVE AS
A FOCUSING MECHANISM FOR SCATTERED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY FROM WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

IN REGARDS TO HURRICANE IKE...CHECK THE FORECAST FROM THE TROPICAL
PREDICTION CENTER FOR INFORMATION REGARDING THE FORECAST TRACK
THROUGH NEXT WEEK.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED THROUGH THE TAF PERIOD. TROPICAL STORM
HANNA CONTINUES TO PULL AWAY FROM THE AREA WITH WITH WIND SPEEDS
CONTINUING TO DECREASE. WESTERLY WINDS WILL PUSH ADDITIONAL DRY
AIR INTO THE REGION WITH SKIES REMAINING MOSTLY CLEAR THROUGH
00Z...THEN SOME CLOUDS MOVING IN FROM THE WEST OVERNIGHT. WINDS
AFTER 00Z WILL BE LIGHT AND VARIABLE AS AN INVERSION DEVELOPS AND
WEAK HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY.

EXTENDED PERIOD...NO SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO AVIATION EXPECTED
SUNDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. ALL INTERESTS ARE ENCOURAGED TO MONITOR
THE STATUS OF HURRICANE IKE FOR POSSIBLE IMPACTS TO THE REGION
THURSDAY AND BEYOND.

&&

.CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
SC...NONE.
GA...NONE.

&&

$$




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