FXUS61 KCAR 050737
AFDCAR

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CARIBOU ME
237 AM EST SUN FEB 5 2012

.SYNOPSIS...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL SLIDE JUST WEST OF THE REGION TODAY. A COLD
FRONT WILL APPROACH LATER MONDAY THEN CROSS THE REGION MONDAY
NIGHT. HIGH PRESSURE THEN RETURNS FOR TUESDAY.
&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TONIGHT/...
THIS MORNING'S SHALLOW RADIATION INVERSION WILL BE QUICKLY
ELIMINATED WITH SUNNY SKIES AND ALLOW HIGHS TO REACH THE UPPER
TEENS NORTH AND MID 20S DOWN EAST. SOME OF THE COLDER SPOTS WILL
BE LESS THAN -20F BY DAYBREAK...ESPECIALLY IN THE ALLAGASH. SOME
NEAR ZERO READINGS WILL EVEN OCCUR NEAR THE DOWN EAST COAST. A
WARM FRONT WILL BRING INCREASING HIGH CLOUDS LATER TODAY AND LIGHT
OVERRUNNING SNOW LATER TONIGHT TO NORTHERN ZONES. ACCUMULATIONS
WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. THIS SNOW WILL STAY NORTH OF THE DOWN
EAST REGION. LOWS FOR TONIGHT WILL OCCUR EARLY THIS EVENING WITH
TEMPERATURES REMAINING STEADY OR RISING SLIGHTLY OVERNIGHT UNDER
CLOUDY SKIES.
&&

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/...
WARM AIR ADVECTION WILL CONTINUE ON MONDAY WITH TEMPERATURES RISING
INTO THE 30S BUT ALSO PRODUCING CLOUDS AND LIGHT SNOW FOR NORTHERN
SECTIONS. RH PROGS INDICATE DEEP MOISTURE TO MOVE ACROSS NORTHERN
MAINE SO HAVE INCREASED POPS TO LIKELY DURING THE MORNING HOURS ON
MONDAY. WITH WEAK DYNAMICS ALOFT, QPF AMOUNTS WILL BE LESS THAN A
TENTH OF AN INCH WITH SNOW ACCUMULATION AN INCH OR LESS ON MONDAY.
COLD FRONT WILL THEN CROSS THE STATE LATE MONDAY NIGHT WITH
POSSIBLE SNOW SHOWERS FOR MAINLY NORTHERN AND CENTRAL SECTIONS.
AGAIN ANY SNOW ACCUMULATION WILL BE LESS THAN AN INCH. HIGH
PRESSURE WILL THEN BUILD ACROSS THE REGION TUESDAY UNDER A COLD
NORTHWEST FLOW.
&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY/...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CREST ACROSS NEW ENGLAND ON WEDNESDAY AND THEN
MOVE EAST OF THE REGION. WEAK LOW PRESSURE WILL MOVE SOUTH OF THE
COAST ON THURSDAY WITH THE THREAT OF LIGHT SNOW OR SCATTERED SNOW
SHOWERS. STILL A LOT OF UNCERTAINTY FOR THE END OF THE WEEK AS
ANOTHER LOW PRESSURE MAY AFFECT THE REGION DURING NEXT WEEKEND.
&&

.AVIATION /07Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
NEAR TERM: VFR TODAY FOR ALL TERMINALS. LIGHT SNOW WILL BRING MVFR
CONDITIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR PRESQUE ISLE NORTHWARD.

SHORT TERM: VFR CONDITIONS ACROSS DOWNEAST MONDAY AND TUESDAY.
IFR/MVFR CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY AND MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS
NORTHERN SITES IN LIGHT SNOW OR SNOW SHOWERS...IMPROVING TO VFR
CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY.
&&

.MARINE...
NEAR TERM: HAVE CANCELLED THE SCA THAT HAD BEEN IN EFFECT THROUGH
4AM. NO FURTHER ADVISORIES EXPECTED. SEAS WILL DECREASE SLIGHTLY
TODAY...BEFORE INCREASING LATER TONIGHT.

SHORT TERM: MARGINAL SCA CONDITIONS POSSIBLE MONDAY IN ADVANCE OF
THE COLD FRONT. ONCE COLD FRONT CROSSES THE WATERS EARLY TUESDAY,
POSSIBLE SCA CONDITIONS IN THE COLD AIR ADVECTION BEHIND THE COLD
FRONT LATER TUESDAY.
&&

.CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
ME...NONE.
MARINE...NONE.

&&

$$
NEAR TERM...MCW
SHORT TERM...FOSTER
LONG TERM...FOSTER
AVIATION...MCW
MARINE...MCW/FOSTER





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