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FXUS64 KCRP 210225 AAB
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
925 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019

.DISCUSSION...Although windy conditions will persist over the
coastal plains and western Brush Country into the early evening
hours, wind speeds will be below advisory levels and allowed the
Wind Advisory to expire. Made some slight adjustments to sky
cover grids as satellite imagery shows extensive low cloud deck
moving inland over the coastal plains. Removed the mention of
slight chance of thunderstorms for the northern Brush Country
tonight with only a slim chance for isolated streamer showers
beneath the strong inversion after midnight.

The tide levels continue to be around 1.5 feet above expected
along the coast and in the bays. Going toward low tide at this
time but expect minor coastal flooding again with the next high
tide tomorrow. ESTOFS/PETSS show the tide levels may reach up to
2.6 feet MSL along the coast at next high tide.

&&

.MARINE...Southeasterly flow will continue to increase over the
coastal waters tonight as the low level flow increases to 45-50
knots. Frequent gusts to near or above gale force still on track
for the overnight period. No changes to the current Gale Warning
for the Gulf waters.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 653 PM CDT Mon May 20 2019/

DISCUSSION...See Aviation section for 00Z TAFs.

AVIATION...Breezy to windy conditions will continue tonight as
the low level flow increases to 45-50 knots. MVFR ceilings over
the northern Coastal Bend into the Victoria Crossroads will spread
inland this evening over the rest of the coastal plains between
02-04Z and the western Brush Country by 09Z. VFR conditions will
move back into the Brush Country 14-15Z as the dryline pushes to
the east. MVFR ceilings will hold over the coastal plains into
early afternoon while southerly winds remain gusty ahead of the
dryline. The dryline should make ALI area before stalling. There
may be enough lift to overcome the cap over the VCT area to
provide a chance of thunderstorms late afternoon.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi 79 92 77 89 76 / 10 10 0 10 0
Victoria 78 89 75 89 75 / 10 30 10 10 10
Laredo 78 103 76 100 78 / 10 0 0 10 0
Alice 78 96 76 94 76 / 10 10 0 0 10
Rockport 79 86 79 84 78 / 10 10 10 10 0
Cotulla 76 96 72 98 76 / 10 10 0 0 0
Kingsville 79 95 77 92 76 / 10 10 0 0 10
Navy Corpus 80 86 79 86 79 / 10 10 0 10 0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Coastal Flood Advisory until 7 AM CDT Wednesday For the
following zones: Aransas Islands...Calhoun Islands...
Coastal Aransas...Coastal Calhoun...Coastal Kleberg...
Coastal Nueces...Coastal Refugio...Coastal San Patricio...
Kleberg Islands...Nueces Islands.

GM...Small Craft Advisory until 10 PM CDT this evening For the
following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to
Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay
to Port Aransas from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas
to Matagorda Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM Tuesday to 7 AM CDT Wednesday For
the following zones: Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas
from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda
Ship Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

Gale Warning until 7 AM CDT Tuesday For the following zones:
Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas out 20 NM...
Coastal waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship Channel
out 20 NM...Waters from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas from 20
to 60 NM...Waters from Port Aransas to Matagorda Ship
Channel from 20 to 60 NM.

Small Craft Advisory until 1 PM CDT Tuesday For the following
zones: Bays and Waterways from Baffin Bay to Port Aransas...
Bays and Waterways from Port Aransas to Port O'Connor.

Small Craft Advisory from 7 AM to 7 PM CDT Tuesday For the
following zones: Coastal waters from Baffin Bay to Port
Aransas out 20 NM...Coastal waters from Port Aransas to
Matagorda Ship Channel out 20 NM.

&&

$$

TMT/89...SHORT TERM
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