FXUS63 KDVN 230904

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Quad Cities IA IL
304 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Issued at 300 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

An area of light mixed precipitation, including some brief sleet,
moved over parts of eastern Iowa into northern Illinois during the
overnight hours. A mostly cloudy sky and south breeze held
temperatures up mainly in the low 30s.


.SHORT TERM...(Today and Tonight)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Brief mixed precipitation will end shortly over the northwest
Illinois counties. There are no travel impacts with very little
precipitation reaching the ground from the mid-level cloud deck.

Otherwise, expect a surface trough passage with modest WAA and
afternoon highs in the 40s to around 50 degrees far southwest.
Southerly winds will increase tonight ahead of the next frontal
boundary, with lows from 30 to 35 degrees.

.LONG TERM...(Friday through Wednesday)
ISSUED AT 300 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Few changes to the long term forecast as the end of November into
the beginning of December will be quiet across the area. Overall
quiet weather pattern is forecast. Mid next week a wave is forecast
to advect into the area. There are discrepancies between different
models so confidence in precipitation is low. The main forecast
concern will be potential record high temperatures on Friday.
Current guidance has temperatures just below record highs in the
upper 50s to mid 60s. There is real potential that we could break
these records, especially if we mix deep enough.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Thursday Night)
ISSUED AT 1124 PM CST Wed Nov 22 2017

A weak, fast moving low pressure system will track through the
region tonight through Thursday morning producing little other
than high cloud cover and a gradual shift in the direction of
light surface winds. There may be a very brief period of light sleet
at CID, DBQ and MLI before 2 am, but confidence is too low to
include in the forecasts. Otherwise, VFR conditions will continue.


ISSUED AT 300 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

Record Highs for November 24...

Moline.........66 in 1966
Cedar Rapids...63 in 1931
Dubuque........63 in 1931
Burlington.....68 in 1915




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