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FXUS63 KEAX 260811
AFDEAX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
311 AM CDT Wed Sep 26 2018

.Discussion...
Issued at 308 AM CDT WED SEP 26 2018

Patchy fog is possible during the morning commute as temps
continue to cool underneath clear skies, though unfavorable wind
direction should keep widespread development in check. Cool,
northwesterly flow will persist through the better part of the
day, which will not only keep high temps in the 60s today, but
also reduce dew point values as low as the upper 30s. Thus,
humidity values will decrease steadily and ideal fall conditions
will be evident. A broad surface ridge will center over the region
late tonight, with weak warm advection returning by Thursday
morning. This will bring slightly warmer temps back by Thursday
afternoon, generally peaking in the low to mid 70s.

Temp trends for Friday remain somewhat uncertain, all dependent on
the placement of a stalled front during the afternoon hours. Models
still show some disagreement with this placement, though regardless,
the boundary will eventually push to the south as a cold front by
late Friday, perhaps earlier. Have adjusted Friday high temps
slightly cooler, though may need to decrease further depending on
the placement of the stalled boundary and transition to a cold
front. Friday overnight lows across northern Missouri will dip into
the low 40s, and perhaps upper 30s should current trends continue.
As of now, not overly concerned with frost potential with progged
cloud cover in place and temps just out of range. Impacts, if any,
should remain confined to areas north of Highway 36 early Saturday
morning. Light to moderate rain showers are possible near the
stalled boundary Friday before a subsequent round of showers are
possible Saturday into Sunday as the boundary lifts back to the
north. Temps will steadily rebound by the late weekend and into
the early work week, with more seasonal values remaining in place
through the mid-week.


&&

.Aviation...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday Night)
Issued at 1151 PM CDT TUE SEP 25 2018

VFR conditions have spread across the terminals behind the cold
front that swept through Tuesday afternoon and evening. There
might be a bit of ground fog around sunrise, but otherwise expect
VFR skies with north winds prevailing.


&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
KS...NONE.
MO...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...Welsh
Aviation...Cutter
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