FXUS62 KFFC 290722

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Peachtree City GA
322 AM EDT Fri May 29 2020

.SHORT TERM /Today through Saturday/...

Closed upper low lifting out of the southern plains across the mid-
Mississippi Valley has begun opening up and merging with the larger,
broad upper trough moving across the Great Lakes. This trend will
continue through the short-term forecast period. Merged trough axis
passes through the region today/tonight. Better energy shifts well
north of the area but enough mid/upper lift combined with low-level
forcing along the associated frontal boundary and moderate
instability will bring another round of scattered convection to
north and central Georgia today. Although widespread severe weather
is not expected, sufficient instability and dynamics for some strong
storms and potentially a few isolated severe today. Front slows
tonight and lingers across the area through Saturday, but should get
far enough south and east to keep isolated to scattered convection
generally south and east of the I-85 corridor tomorrow.


.LONG TERM /Saturday Night through Thursday/...

As the cold front exits on Sunday morning it will take most of the
precip with it. There could be a few lingering showers and
thunderstorms in SE Georgia before noon but dry air behind the front
quickly turns those chances off for the remainder of the day. Cool
dry air will help to keep temperatures more seasonal with highs in
the low to mid 80s Sunday and Monday.

High pressure will dominate the area for most of next week. As the
high moves off shore the flow will become more southerly. By the
middle of the week temperatures will begin to rebound and diurnally
driven afternoon thunderstorms should pop up again as moisture
returns to the area. Temperatures will continue to climb as the week
progresses with strong southerly flow being reinforced on the back
side of the Bermuda high. Widespread low to mid 90s are possible for
the second half of next week.



.AVIATION... 06Z Update...

Mostly VFR conditions currently with local areas of MVFR or lower
visibilities. Should see the some, at least intermittent, MVFR or
lower visibilities across much of the area. Best chances for impacts
at the TAF sites is generally in the 09Z-14Z timeframe. An isolated
shower or even a thunderstorm is possible through 15Z, however
chances for direct impacts at any of the TAF sites is very low.
Coverage of showers and increases after 15Z with best coverage
expected in the 20Z-02Z period. Winds will be south to west in
direction most areas, less than 5kt through 15Z then increasing to 5-
10kt after.

//ATL Confidence...06Z Update...

Medium, especially concerning timing/duration of convection and
timing/extent of any stratus development early this morning and
again overnight into early Saturday morning.



Athens 84 65 86 62 / 60 50 20 5
Atlanta 84 65 83 62 / 50 40 20 5
Blairsville 79 58 78 55 / 60 50 10 0
Cartersville 85 61 83 59 / 50 30 10 0
Columbus 86 66 87 64 / 50 40 30 5
Gainesville 82 63 83 61 / 60 50 20 0
Macon 85 67 86 65 / 50 50 40 5
Rome 85 62 83 59 / 50 30 10 0
Peachtree City 85 63 84 61 / 50 40 20 5
Vidalia 85 69 86 68 / 70 60 60 20




LONG TERM....Vaughn
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