FXUS65 KFGZ 152157

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
257 PM MST Sat Jun 15 2019

.SYNOPSIS...Seasonable temperatures and afternoon breezes will
continue through the weekend. A moisture increase will result in
at least isolated showers and thunderstorms through the weekend,
with the best chances on Sunday. Warm, breezy and mainly dry
conditions look to return for Tuesday through much of next week.


A series of shortwave troughs will move through the region over
the next few days with daily chances for showers and
thunderstorms, with the best chances along and north of
Interstate 40. Though showers have developed today, more coverage
is expected for Sunday.

The weather looks to dry out for most locations by Tuesday, with
lingering slight chances generally confined to the Four Corners. Dry
flow with daytime temps near seasonal norms and increasingly
breezy afternoon winds are expected as we head later into next
week and next weekend.


.AVIATION...For the 00Z package...Primarily VFR conditions will
continue for the next 24 hours. West to southwest surface winds
at 10-15 kts with gusts to around 20 kts will continue through
02Z. Gusts near -SHRA/-TSRA will be up to 35 kts. Overnight winds
will be light and variable. ISOLD -SHRA/-TSRA coverage will begin
to decrease after 0230Z. ISOLD to SCT -SHRA/-TSRA will return to
areas along and north of the Mogollon Rim after 18Z Sun. Aviation
discussion not updated for TAF amendments.


.FIRE WEATHER...Breezy west to southwest afternoon winds will
continue on Sunday. Isolated to scattered showers and storms
along and north of the Mogollon Rim will return on Sunday and
Monday. The highest chances for showers and storms will be Sunday
afternoon and evening.

Tuesday through Thursday...Expect near-normal temperatures with
continued west to southwest daytime breezes. The minimum
relative humidity will be lowest Thursday afternoon.






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