FXUS65 KFGZ 301049

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
349 AM MST Sun Apr 30 2017

.SYNOPSIS...Dry weather with a strong warming trend will begin
today and continue through next week. Temperatures will be
above normal for much of next week.


.DISCUSSION...After a cool day to start the weekend on Saturday,
dry northwesterly flow and a warming trend will be the main
weather story through much of next week. Afternoon high
temperatures today will be around 10 degrees warmer than
yesterday. This warming trend continues into next week with
temperatures well above normal by mid week. The warmest days at
this point look to be on Thursday and Friday as a ridge of high
pressure moves overhead. There will be periods of breezy
conditions during the afternoons, but winds are expected to remain
below advisory criteria.

Latest model guidance continues to suggest the potential for a low
pressure system to impact the area late next weekend. Details on
the track of the system and therefore the impacts on the weather
for northern Arizona are uncertain at this time. However, this
system does have the potential to bring significant weather to
the area.


.AVIATION...For the 12Z package...VFR to continue under mostly clear
skies over the next 24 hrs. Light winds becoming NW 10-20 kts
through early this evening. Aviation discussion not updated for


.FIRE WEATHER...Dry northwesterly flow aloft will remain over
Arizona through the early part of the coming week. Temperatures
will begin to warm up today reaching above normal by Monday. Expect
typical afternoon breezes.

Tuesday through Thursday...Dry northwesterly flow will continue as
high pressure builds over the west coast. Light winds are
anticipated by Wednesday and Thursday when the high pressure ridge
moves over Arizona.






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