FXUS63 KLBF 230431

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
1031 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 316 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

Skies will clear tonight as high pressure builds into the region
behind the departing storm system. Winds will also decrease with
lows dropping to around 10 above at most locations.

Downslope west/northwest winds and warmer temperatures at H85 will
make for a mild day Wednesday. Highs will reach the mid 30s to
lower 40s. Northwest winds will increase with gusts nearing 25 mph
across southwest Nebraska and the Panhandle during the afternoon.

A shortwave rotating around the Hudson Bay low will cross southern
Canada Wednesday night. This will drive the next Arctic front
south through the area. Winds overnight will increase from the
north with temperatures falling into the single digits by Thursday
morning across northern Nebraska. A few snow showers are possible
across northwest Nebraska, but little accumulation is expected.

.LONG TERM...(Thursday through Tuesday)
Issued at 316 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

Northwest flow aloft will persist into early next week. Several weak
waves will be present within the flow. None look organized and any
light precipitation looks to be showery in nature. Swings in
temperatures are expected - as we catch the western edge of bouts
of Arctic air moving south. Overall though, models have been
trending warmer, with much of the Arctic air being shunted toward
the Great Lakes and eastern U.S. Thursday will be the coldest day
of the period, with highs in the mid teen to mid 20s. Temperatures
will moderate thereafter, with highs by Sunday touching 50F
across western Nebraska with 40s elsewhere.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Wednesday night)
Issued at 1030 PM CST Tue Jan 22 2019

Latest satellite imagery shows stratus has cleared out of western
NE and is present mainly across central and eastern NE, roughly
along and east of a line from Ainsworth to Lexington. MVFR
ceilings are associated with this stratus. Latest winds are
light, up to 15 MPH, out of the west to northwest. Stratus will
continue to clear, meanwhile high clouds will move into
northwestern NEB overnight. Fair conditions will then continue
tomorrow with increasing cloudiness late tomorrow ahead of a weak
disturbance. Further, moderate breezes will prevail tomorrow
afternoon as well, up to 20 MPH. Thereafter low-end VFR ceilings
(less than 7 kft) spread across western NE tomorrow evening with
ceilings dropping to MVFR across parts of northwestern NEB. Of
which, there are low-end chances for light snow across northwest
NEB early tomorrow night.




Back to Main Forecast Discussion Page