FXUS63 KLBF 222328

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
628 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.SHORT TERM...(This evening through Sunday)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Tonight quiet and mild temperatures as the upper ridge builds east
for an increasing zonal flow aloft and some high clouds spreading
east overnight. Models are in good agreement where the next weak
cold front moves into the northwest Panhandle Sunday. Minor differences
in fropa and the dryline placement to the west for elevated fire
weather conditions to continue. Southerly winds overnight will
help keep temps up, with readings in the 50s at daybreak, some 5
degrees above normal for this time of year.

Sunday dry conditions continue and warmer for elevated fire
weather conditions west of Highway 83. A blend of models used for
for a slower movement of the front southeast with relative
humidities to drop into the teens in areas generally west of
Highway 61. Depending on the frontal position Sunday winds could
be stronger in the west and will need to be monitored as surface relative
humidities drop in the teens to lower 20s in areas west of
Highway 83. Stronger wind gusts are forecast to the east with
gusts AOB 25 mph. Temperatures will reach into the lower 80s over
the north central to around 90 in parts of the west.

.LONG TERM...(Sunday night through Saturday)
Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Low probabilities for rainfall through Saturday. The cold front
moves southeast Sunday night into Monday with a slight chance for
post frontal showers after midnight and a secondary push on
Tuesday for a chance of showers. Otherwise, temperatures trend
down into the 60s through Wednesday before recovering into the
mid 80s on Saturday.


.AVIATION...(For the 00Z TAFS through 00Z Sunday evening)
Issued at 609 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Clear skies prevail, except for a few swaths of high clouds
streaming across far northern NEB. VFRs will continue through the
TAF period. Southerly winds will remain elevated overnight
increasing tomorrow with the strongest winds along and east of US
Highway 83 with gusts up to 25-30 mph across north central NEB.


Issued at 126 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

Elevated fire weather conditions continues for Sunday afternoon
in areas west of Highway 61 as surface humidities drop into the
teens. Then further east to Highway 83 surface humidities into
the 20s with light winds across the west. On Sunday the upper
ridge breaks down with the frontal system to push east overnight
into Monday with elevated concerns decreasing as a cool down
occurs through Wednesday.




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