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FXUS65 KLKN 242122
AFDLKN

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
222 PM PDT Thu May 24 2018

.SYNOPSIS...Another low pressure system will be moving through the
Great Basin for Memorial Day weekend. As this system approaches,
thunderstorms will mainly affect western Nevada Friday however
showers and thunderstorms will be possible for all areas in
northern and central Nevada Saturday, Sunday and Memorial Day.

&&

.SHORT TERM...Tonight through Saturday evening. Today started out
with some altocumulus clouds as far east as Elko but they
dissipated as they moved north. Before dissipating, there was a
couple lightning strikes over northeast Nevada near Contact with
some high reflectivity bouncing off the mountain peaks just to the
northwest of Montello. Expecting additional afternoon
thunderstorm redevelopment to the west, mainly Humboldt County and
maybe near the border with Idaho in Elko County. There is another
low pressure trough approaching and the models are handling it
well with very good placement of the incoming system.

Tonight. The next low pressure system will be nearing the
California coast, providing a good fetch of moisture from the
south across the Sierra-Nevada Range. Any convection that
develops should cease in the evening however Humboldt County and
western Lander and Nye Counties may see some shower activity
continue overnight. Low temperatures will be in the 40s.

Friday through Friday night. Low pressure will move through
California and into western Nevada as an open trough.
Precipitation chances will increase markedly and during the day
Friday, precipitation will mainly affect the western half of the
LKN CWFA. Thunderstorms will likely dissipate in the evening
however it is possible to get a strike or two overnight since the
trough axis will be nearing Winnemucca. Winds south of highway 50
will be gusty...generally in the 30-40 mph range near the surface
with higher peaks feeling the brunt of the winds. The leading
edge of the shower band may reach Carlin by daylight. High
temperatures will be in the 70s. Low temperatures will be in the
40s.

Saturday through Saturday evening. The low pressure trough will
not make much headway, only moving to the vicinity of Elko. All
areas of northern and central Nevada will be prone to receiving
showers and thunderstorms. High temperatures will be in the 60s.

.LONG TERM...Saturday night through next Thursday. Their is pretty
good agreement in the long term period. A general trough pattern
will continue to sit over the Great Basin. Showers and
thunderstorms will be a daily occurrence through the Memorial Day
weekend and through next week. High temperatures will range from
the mid 60s to the mid 70s. Low temperatures will generally be in
the 40s.

&&

.AVIATION...Thunderstorms may impact KWMC, KEKO and KBAM this
afternoon and evening. However VFR conditions should prevail at
KWMC KEKO KELY KTPH and KBAM through Friday afternoon.

&&

.LKN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

92/92/92
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