FXUS65 KLKN 272245
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Elko NV
345 PM PDT Thu Apr 27 2017
.SYNOPSIS...An unsettled, cool and wet weather pattern will
continue across northern and central Nevada through the end of
this week. Look for conditions to slowly improve over the
weekend with temperatures warming into the 60s for many
.SHORT TERM...Today through Sunday. A weakly unstable airmass will
continue to promote cellular convection. This is primarily in the
form of graupel or snow, especially for elevations above
5000-5500ft. This will continue across many areas of northern NV
through the aft/eve. There will likely be a brief lull in
activity after sunset, before additional forcing in the form of
an embedded shortwave moves from north to south cross the area.
TPH continues to see gusty winds this aftn. Many locations around
TPH and passes/summits could gust to 45-55mph, before diminishing
Tonight through Friday. As the aforementioned shortwave traverse
across eastern NV, additional snow showers will develop and move
across the area. A dusting to one half inch of snow will be
possible for many locations with 1-3 inches of snow for the
mountains. Additionally, LIs drop negative tomorrow and isolated
thunder will be possible in eastern NV with some of the stronger
snow showers. By Friday evening, many of the showers will have
exited northern Nevada, with lingering activity across extreme
Saturday and Sunday. Heights will rapidly build into the reigon
with a warming trend. Daytime highs will reach into the 60s across
most locations and well into the 60s for far southern Humboldt
and northern Nye Counties.
.LONG TERM...Sunday night through Thursday
Northwest flow continues through most of the extended period.
Otherwise, dry conditions look to be in place through Tuesday with
some afternoon and evening breezes. Valley highs Monday and
Tuesday will be 55 to 65 degrees with lows mainly in the 30's.
Wednesday through Thursday. The ridge axis over the eastern
Pacific moves inland and will weaken the wind gradient allowing
for temperatures to warm. Most areas look to reach into the low
70s with some areas in the northeastern portions of the CWA
remaining in the upper 60s. Expect more widespread 70s by Thursday
as the ridge remains in place.
.AVIATION...Showers oriented in a NW to SE line and will persist
into Friday for KEKO and KELY. Additional light showers will move
through KWMC late tonight and exit before dawn. Ceilings at KEKO
could drop to MVFR between 10Z-15Z Friday morning and then
improve. Showers in KELY will wax and wane through the night and
become numerous during the day on Friday but ceilings should
remain above MVFR.
Gusts will diminish quickly after sunset today with the exception
of KTPH. Wind gusts to 25 kts will continue at KTPH through the
night and increase to 45 kts Friday afternoon. Wind gusts of 25 to
30 kts will be possible once again Friday afternoon for KELY and
.HYDROLOGY...Most precip has ended with only light additional
amounts expected through Friday. Over the next few days,
temperatures will warm and could result in renewed snowmelt.
Additional rises are likely on many area rivers and streams
heading into next week. Outdoor enthusiasts should watch out for
and be cautious around higher flows.
Here are the locations where flood warnings are currently in
Humboldt River - Battle Mountain: Minor flooding continues.
Humboldt River - Comus, near Winnemucca: Minor to Moderate
Bruneau River - near Rowland: Minor flooding at times with diurnal
All other monitored creeks and rivers are below minor flood stage
at this time, but will likely see rises this week due to an
occasionally wet and unsettled weather pattern. River Statements
have been issued to provide information concerning the following
Wildhorse Dam - at Wildhorse
Owyhee River - at Wildhorse
Owyhee River - near Mountain City
Martin Creek - Paradise Valley
Mary's River - near Deeth
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