FXUS64 KLUB 222302

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Lubbock TX
602 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

VFR conditions will continue for the next 24 hours. Winds will
remain light but, become more north northwesterly overnight.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 301 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018/

Upper flow will turn zonal for the next few days while the weather
remains uneventful.

We will begin to see a change in the weather beginning late on
Tuesday as a weak upper level trough axis approaches the region.
This is associated with a deeper mid level trough moving across the
northern Plains into the Midwest mid-week. Sometime between late
Tuesday into early Wednesday morning, this system will send another
fall like cold front through the area. Overall, the model QPF looks
suspect given the amount of precipitable water available in the
column. Mid and upper level moisture will be somewhat lacking ahead
of this trough/cold front which may limit coverage and duration of
potential precipitation. Any mid and upper level moisture will
essentially have to be in conjunction with the trough itself. Before
the front arrives, temperatures will warm back up into the 80s area
wide - closer to seasonal averages. The initial frontal passage will
bring some breezy winds as well which is a sign we are headed into

Another front looks to be killed off in the Texas Panhandle late on
Thursday keeping precipitation chances nil for the rest of the week.
After a very cool Wednesday in a post frontal air mass, temperatures
will again quickly warm up to values at or just above seasonal
averages for the second half of the week.




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