FXUS64 KLZK 042355
AFDLZK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
555 PM CST THU DEC 4 2008

.AVIATION...
HIGH PRESSURE WILL CONTINUE OVER THE AREA TONIGHT THOUGH AN UPPER
LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL MOVE ACROSS THE NORTH AND CENTRAL SECTIONS
WITH MID AND HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS. NO PRECIPITATION IS EXPECTED.
FRIDAY AFTERNOON...SKIES WILL BECOME CLEAR. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 256 PM CST THU DEC 4 2008/

SHORT TERM...TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT
THE RECENT COLD FRONT HAS PUSHED FAR TO THE EAST OF THE FA
TODAY...WITH HIGH PRESSURE QUICKLY FILLING INTO THE MID SOUTH. GUSTY
NORTH AND WESTERLY WINDS FOLLOWED THE FROPA...WITH WINDS STILL
GUSTING NEAR 20 MPH IN PARTS OF THE SOUTHEAST THIS AFTERNOON. LATEST
SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS SOME MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS STREAMING INTO
THE NORTHWEST. HAVE KEPT CLOUD COVER UP IN THIS AREA OVERNIGHT...AS
A SHORTWAVE MOVES INTO THIS REGION.

A COOL AIR MASS WILL SETTLE OVER THE AREA...AS NORTHWESTERLY FLOW
STRENGTHENS. THIS WILL KEEP TEMPS NEAR TO JUST BELOW NORMAL THROUGH
FRIDAY. BY SATURDAY...HIGH PRESSURE WILL SHIFT EAST AND SOUTHERLY
FLOW WILL RETURN. THIS WILL BRING TEMPS BACK UP TO JUST A FEW
DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL LEVELS.

MODELS ARE STILL SHOWING A DRY FRONT TO MOVE THROUGH
SATURDAY...WITH ONLY AN INCREASE IN CLOUD COVER EXPECTED. PRESSURE
GRADIENT WILL TIGHTEN BEHIND THIS BOUNDARY...LEADING TO GUSTY
NORTHWESTERLY WINDS AND ANOTHER SHOT OF COOLER AIR. MOISTURE WILL
RETURN FOR SUNDAY...OUT AHEAD OF THE NEXT SYSTEM TO AFFECT THE AREA.
THIS SYSTEM WILL HAVE A MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPACT ON THE FA AND WILL
BE DISCUSSED IN THE LONG TERM.

LONG TERM...MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY
SOMEWHAT OF A SPLIT FLOW INDICATED IN THE EXTENDED PERIOD. NORTHWEST
FLOW ALOFT WILL DRIVE A COLD FRONT TOWARD ARKANSAS FROM THE PLAINS
ON MONDAY/TUESDAY. AT THE SAME TIME...A STORM SYSTEM WILL APPROACH
FROM THE SOUTHWEST...AND WILL PROVIDE MOISTURE.

LOOKS LIKE RAIN WILL BREAK OUT AS THE PERIOD BEGINS...AND WILL
CONTINUE MONDAY NIGHT. AFTER THE FRONT GOES THROUGH...IT APPEARS
SURFACE LOW PRESSURE WILL BEGIN INTENSIFYING ALONG THE FRONT IN
LOUISIANA. COLDER AIR/LINGERING MOISTURE MAY YIELD CHANCES FOR SNOW
TUESDAY/TUESDAY EVENING IN NORTHERN AND WESTERN ARKANSAS. THIS
SITUATION WILL BE MONITORED CLOSELY.

BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BATESVILLE AR 25 40 27 52 / 0 0 0 10
CAMDEN AR 29 45 29 57 / 0 0 0 0
HARRISON AR 21 39 26 51 / 0 0 0 10
HOT SPRINGS AR 27 44 29 56 / 0 0 0 0
LITTLE ROCK AR 28 43 28 56 / 0 0 0 0
MONTICELLO AR 31 46 29 57 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNT IDA AR 27 44 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
MOUNTAIN HOME AR 22 38 25 52 / 0 0 0 10
NEWPORT AR 26 41 27 52 / 0 0 0 10
PINE BLUFF AR 30 45 29 57 / 0 0 0 0
RUSSELLVILLE AR 25 41 27 54 / 0 0 0 10
SEARCY AR 27 42 27 54 / 0 0 0 10
STUTTGART AR 29 43 29 55 / 0 0 0 0
&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...NONE.
&&

$$


AVIATION...51


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