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FXUS64 KMAF 230945
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 AM CST Thu Nov 23 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Not many changes to the current forecast. WV imagery shows West
Texas and Southeast New Mexico under meridional flow aloft, courtesy
of a highly-amplified ridge centered just over the western CONUS.
off the coast of Baja CA. An upper trough is making landfall on
B.C., and as the rest of it comes onshore further south over the
next 48 hrs, it will dampen the ridge somewhat and transition flow
aloft to NW. Thicknesses will continue to increase thru Friday,
when afternoon temps will soar into the 80s for much of the FA.
Unfortunately, as it traverses into the interior CONUS, the PacNW
trough will drop a cold front into the region Friday night, knocking
temps down around 10 deg F Sat afternoon. The upper ridge then
builds east into Mexico, w/temps rising to the upr 70s/lwr 80s by
Monday afternoon, but a secondary trough will move thru the central
CONUS Mon night/Tue, sending a secondary front into the area Tue.
This front still looks to be much stronger than the first, taking
temps down to below-normal by Wed afternoon. GFS Chiclets still
hint at potential fire wx concerns for Tue, but has backed off
slightly from yesterday's run. Wed, temps come back up to around
normal. Otherwise, return flow remains paltry, as does moisture
return, and grids stay dry.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 73 43 80 48 / 0 0 0 0
Carlsbad 73 42 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
Dryden 75 44 83 48 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Stockton 71 48 83 51 / 0 0 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 71 50 75 49 / 0 0 0 0
Hobbs 74 44 79 45 / 0 0 0 0
Marfa 73 36 78 41 / 0 0 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 74 44 80 48 / 0 0 0 0
Odessa 75 45 81 47 / 0 0 0 0
Wink 74 40 83 45 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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