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FXUS64 KMAF 240945
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
345 AM CST Sun Jan 24 2021

.DISCUSSION...
Active upper pattern will continue. A cut off low over Srn CA this
morning will open up as it travels across AZ into NM today and
passes over the CWA tonight. The next upper trough moving down the
CA coast tonight will also develop into a cut off low over Srn CA
Monday passing over the 4 Corners region Tuesday and then crossing
the Rockies onto the plains Wednesday. After it passes will have
ridging aloft the rest of Wednesday and Thursday with the next upper
trough coming ashore Friday. This trough quickly moves east
passing over the region Saturday.

Dense fog advisory remains in effect this morning... have low clouds
over the Permian Basin into SE NM and the Trans Pecos with areas of
fog as have dewpts in the 50s from INK eastward. At 09z have a
number of locations with fog and 1/4 to 1/2 mile visibility from SE
NM across the Northern Permian Basin... however also have a number
of locations across the Central Permian Basin with no fog at all.

Another weak front will sag down across the NE counties this
afternoon before being blown out by a west wind and a Pacific front
tonight. Look to have somewhat of a dryline set up across the
Permian Basin and Trans Pecos late afternoon that will be overtaken
by the Pac front overnight. Highs climb into the 60s and 70s today.
West wind continues Monday but it will be cooler behind the front
with highs in the 50s and 60s. Temps remain cool Tuesday through
Thursday with 60s returning on Friday. Overnight lows not that cold
for this time of year.

High Wind expected in the Guadalupes tonight. Looking at the 850
and 700mb winds and various guidances have upgraded the High Wind
Watch for the Guadalupe and Delawares tonight to a warning and
extended it through most of Monday. Have also added a Wind Advisory
tonight for Culberson and Eddy.

Will have potential for thunderstorm development late this afternoon
over the NE with a better chance tonight. Best chance looks to be
from Lea County across the Permian Basin and Lower Trans Pecos.
While cannot rule out a strong storm or two... severe wx is expected
to remain east of the area. Will have a slight chance of showers
Friday night ahead of an approaching upper trough.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring 64 41 61 34 / 20 60 0 0
Carlsbad 66 37 56 32 / 10 20 0 10
Dryden 73 49 69 39 / 10 20 0 0
Fort Stockton 75 43 61 36 / 10 20 0 0
Guadalupe Pass 57 32 49 29 / 10 20 0 10
Hobbs 65 36 55 30 / 10 30 0 0
Marfa 68 30 55 23 / 10 10 0 0
Midland Intl Airport 67 41 60 34 / 10 30 0 0
Odessa 69 40 60 33 / 10 30 0 0
Wink 72 38 61 31 / 10 20 0 0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...Dense Fog Advisory until 9 AM MST this morning for Central Lea
County-Eddy County Plains-Northern Lea County-Southern Lea
County.

Wind Advisory from 5 PM this afternoon to 5 AM MST Monday for
Eddy County Plains.

High Wind Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 4 PM MST Monday
for Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...Dense Fog Advisory until 10 AM CST this morning for Andrews-
Borden-Crane-Dawson-Ector-Gaines-Glasscock-Howard-Loving-
Martin-Midland-Mitchell-Pecos-Reagan-Reeves County Plains-
Scurry-Terrell-Upton-Ward-Winkler.

Wind Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM CST Monday for
Eastern Culberson County-Van Horn and Highway 54 Corridor.

High Wind Warning from 5 PM this afternoon to 4 PM MST Monday
for Guadalupe Mountains Above 7000 Feet-Guadalupe and
Delaware Mountains.

&&

$$

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