Location:  
MeteoStar

FXUS62 KMLB 191335
AFDMLB

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Melbourne FL
935 AM EDT Tue Jun 19 2018

...Summer Rainy Season Takes a Break Today...

.UPDATE...
Drier air within the western flank of Atlantic high pressure will
keep conditions rain free today as the summertime stormy season
takes a break. Higher moisture along the west coast of the
peninsula north of Tampa Bay will promote some showers and storms
there with the late day collision of the sea breeze. Expect this
activity to remain west of Lake County, though a silent 10-15% PoP
has been retained there for this evening. Ridging aloft and
anticyclonic flow will keep things quite stable above the surface
as limited moisture remains beneath an inversion around 850-900mb.
With little to no clouds and solar insolation reaching its peak
this week, afternoon temperatures will climb several degrees
above mid-June climatology across the interior. The quick
formation and push inland of the Atlantic sea breeze will provide
some relief along the coast, where afternoon highs will peak
between 87-89 (90 along and west of I-95).

&&

.AVIATION...
Typical summertime thunderstorm pattern will take a break again
today as abnormally dry air keeps conditions VFR across east
central Florida. Any chance for late day SHRA/TSRA from sea breeze
collision should remain to the north and west of KLEE.

&&

.MARINE...
Today/Tonight...Continued benign conditions with east-southeast
winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 10-12 knots as the Atlantic sea
breeze circulation develops this afternoon. Seas 1 foot near the
coast, up to 2 feet offshore. Drier than normal air will also
keep shower chances over the Atlantic 10 percent or less.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Heavy rainfall last week has caused a slow and steady rise of the
Saint Johns River. The river is expected to remain above Action
Stage this week above Lake Harney near Geneva, rising very slowly
through late week before leveling out.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
DAB 90 72 92 75 / 10 10 20 20
MCO 95 74 94 76 / 10 10 20 30
MLB 89 73 91 76 / 10 10 10 10
VRB 90 71 91 74 / 10 10 10 10
LEE 95 75 94 76 / 10 10 30 20
SFB 95 74 94 76 / 10 10 20 20
ORL 94 75 94 76 / 10 10 20 30
FPR 89 70 91 74 / 10 10 10 10

&&

.MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
AM...None.
&&

$$

Ulrich/Volkmer
Back to Main Forecast Discussion Page