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FXUS64 KMRX 161428
AFDMRX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Morristown TN
1028 AM EDT Sun Jun 16 2019

.DISCUSSION...A broken line of convection over middle TN this
morning will slowly work its way eastward and will push across
east TN this afternoon. Lower levels continue to moisten and warm
with the southerly flow and with the aid of strong diurnal
heating...expect the air mass to destabilize this afternoon with
CAPE values of 1000-2000 J/Kg expected. However...there is minimal
shear and little upper support. So overall...a strong to
potentially severe storm is possible...but do not anticipated a
significant weather day. As for temperatures...the southerly flow
will continue the warming trend and highs this afternoon should
reach into the mid 80s to around 90 across most valley locations.
Current forecast in good shape...will increase POPs slightly and
move timing up a bit.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Chattanooga Airport, TN 90 72 88 70 / 30 20 60 40
Knoxville McGhee Tyson Airport, TN 88 70 85 68 / 30 20 60 40
Oak Ridge, TN 89 70 85 69 / 30 30 60 40
Tri Cities Airport, TN 85 66 84 65 / 30 30 60 30

&&

.MRX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NC...None.
TN...None.
VA...None.
&&

$$

MJB
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