FXUS63 KOAX 290818

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Omaha/Valley NE
318 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020

...Updated Forecast Discussion...

Issued at 247 AM CDT Fri May 29 2020


Finally! The low that has been causing our dreary weather
the last several days, is finally shifting off to our east. Friday
will be relatively cool compared to Thursday with light north
winds as a low continues shifting to the east. An upper level
ridge will slowly starts building in from the west today. Expect
high temperatures to be around 75 degrees across the area today.

The Weekend:

As the ridge continues building in on Saturday, a
little short wave is expected to pulse through the upper level
flow. This will bring increasing chances for precip through the
day. Looks like this will just be showers with best instability
remaining well to our west. Thunder will likely stay out of our
area. Saturday might also be a good day to grab a light jacket
because high temperatures will be mainly in the mid to upper 60s.
Showers should exit the area on Saturday night. Sunday should be a
dry day with the ridge continuing to build across the central US.
Temperatures will recover to the mid 70s during the day.

Monday and beyond:

Another little shortwave will round the ridge on Monday. There
are some differences in models with some brining showers across
the area during the day and others keeping the precip to the west
of the area. Have elected to keeps some low end precip chances in
the forecast for Monday morning, but this will be refined in the
coming days. The ridge will be the main weather influence for the
early parts of with week with southerly winds and temperatures
topping out 85-90 on Monday. The forecast Tuesday is expected to
be dry, with temps soaring into the low to mid 90s. Toasty!
Tuesday will be the warmest day this week. Temps will remain in
the upper 80s to low 90s through the rest of the week. Another
chance of precip return Wednesday and Thursday as another
shortwave wiggles though. By the end of next week, a low will move
in off the coast of California which will attempt to push our
ridge out. However, long range models show this pesky ridge
remaining in place through the first week of June, and continuing
our warmer than average pattern.


.AVIATION...(For the 06Z TAFS through 06Z Friday night)
Issued at 1122 PM CDT Thu May 28 2020

VFR conditions are expected throughout the TAF period with light
northwest winds, generally under 10kts.




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