FXUS63 KSGF 301150

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Springfield MO
650 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

.SHORT TERM...(Today and tonight)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

The powerful storm system responsible for the flooding rains will
lift northeast into the Plains today. This will shunt the deep
moisture plume to the east and bring an end to the heavy rain
during the morning. However clouds and scattered showers will
linger through the day within a deep cyclonic flow. Temperatures
will remain on the cooler side while winds increase. Could see
gusts over 30 mph by later this morning into the afternoon.

Flooding will continue on streams and rivers with some rivers
continuing to rise.

.LONG TERM...(Monday through Saturday)
Issued at 129 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

A bigger improvement in weather conditions will be noted Monday as
the upper low lifts off to the northeast. The dry weather will
persist into Tuesday but the dry spell will not last long.

The next shortwave riding through a northwesterly flow aloft will
arrive Tuesday night and Wednesday. This system will interact with
front stalled just to our south to bring another round of rain and
some thunder. Rainfall amounts of one to two inches may occur
Tuesday night and Wednesday.

A cooler weather pattern will set up for late week as the region
comes under the influence of a northwesterly flow aloft in the
wake of the deepening upper level trough.


.AVIATION...(For the 12Z TAFS through 12Z Monday morning)
Issued at 642 AM CDT Sun Apr 30 2017

IFR to Lower end MVFR ceilings will dominate the first segment of
the period with ceilings improving later this morning as drier air
is entrained as the upper low tracks closer. Boundary layer RH
will then increase tonight as cold air advects into the region.


MO...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for MOZ055>058-066>071-

KS...Flash Flood Watch through this evening for KSZ073-097-101.



LONG TERM...Foster
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