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FXUS64 KSJT 070509
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
1209 AM CDT Sun Jun 7 2020


AVIATION...
/06Z TAFS/

VFR conditions for the next 24 hours with steady south to
southeast winds. A few gusts around 15KT may occur after 18Z.

&&

SK

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 258 PM CDT Sat Jun 6 2020/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Visible satellite shows sunny skies across the region except for
some scattered cumulus across the Northwest Hill Country and
Northern Edwards Plateau. As of 1 pm, temperatures have risen into
the upper 80s to low 90s, and by the end of this afternoon, expect
highs to reach the mid to upper 90s.

An upper level ridge will continue over the region through Sunday,
resulting in hot and dry weather with mostly clear skies. Lows
tonight look to be in the 68-72 degree range, while highs Sunday
should be similar to today (mid to upper 90s).

SJH

LONG TERM...
(Monday through Saturday)

Monday looks to be the hottest day of the upcoming week. Tropical
Storm Cristobal will be moving northward into Arkansas Monday
afternoon with the upper ridge axis remaining anchored across
west Texas. Models also strengthen the low level thermal ridge
during the afternoon with 850mb temperatures climbing above 30C
across our western counties. The combination of the ridge and
subsidence around the western side of Cristobal will allow
temperatures to rise into the 100-105+ range especially across the
western half of the forecast area.

Models continue to advertise a cold frontal passage on Tuesday as
a potent shortwave trough ejects eastward across the Central
Plains. This will bump temperatures down compared to Monday but
still looking at highs in the mid 90s to lower 100s.

Upper level ridging spreads eastward across the region Wednesday
and beyond. The latest run of the GFS weakens the ridge and sends
another frontal boundary through the area on Friday. However, the
ECMWF and Canadian both maintain the upper ridge across the
state. Thus, will keep a hot and dry forecast through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 96 69 99 76 / 0 0 0 0
San Angelo 99 69 104 74 / 0 0 0 0
Junction 97 68 101 73 / 0 0 0 0
Brownwood 95 68 99 74 / 0 0 0 0
Sweetwater 96 69 102 74 / 0 0 0 0
Ozona 97 70 102 73 / 0 0 0 0

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$
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