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FXUS64 KSJT 222335
AFDSJT

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service San Angelo TX
635 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018

.AVIATION...
/00Z TAFS/

MVFR CIGs around 1500-2000 ft agl with local IFR Vis of 2-3 SM
will likely continue through 04Z. 04Z-18Z, areas of IFR CIGs
400-800 ft agl, Vis 1-3 SM and -RA/DZ likely to develop across
the eastern half of the forecast area (KABI, KBBD, KJCT), with
mainly MVFR CIGs/Vis elsewhere. There's a chance for locally dense
fog to occur at KABI, KBBD, and/or KJCT, but confidence too low
to include in TAFs. 18Z Sun to 00Z Mon, CIGs/Vis gradually
lifting to widespread MVFR conditions for most areas. Surface
winds from the north should be 10 KT or less.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 252 PM CDT Sat Sep 22 2018/

SHORT TERM...
(Tonight and Sunday)

Extensive cloud cover continues across West Central Texas this
afternoon, with temperatures struggling to get out of the low to mid
60s. An upper level low/trough is located across north Texas.
Isolated to scattered wrap around showers are possible on the west
side of the aforementioned low, mainly affecting our northern and
eastern counties tonight into Sunday. Most of this activity is
forecast to remain light, with only minor accumulations expected.
Extensive cloud cover and possible light showers on Sunday will help
to keep temperatures below seasonal normals. Highs will be in the
mid to upper 70s for most locations.

LONG TERM...
(Sunday Night through Saturday)

Dry and warmer weather will prevail for the first part of next
week, with temperatures warming into the 80s Monday and Tuesday.
Temperatures will be warmest on Tuesday, ahead of an approaching
cold front from the north, with afternoon highs mainly in the
upper 80s.

A shortwave trough will move across the Central and Northern
Plains on Tuesday, with an associated cold front moving south
across the area on Wednesday. The front will bring slightly
cooler temperatures and another chance of rainfall late Tuesday
night over the Big Country and across most of the area on
Wednesday. Precipitation chances will linger over southeast
sections on Thursday as the front stalls and then weakens just
south of the forecast area. Return flow develops late next week
into the start of the weekend, with the potential for mainly
diurnally driven showers and thunderstorms Friday and Saturday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Abilene 62 74 63 82 / 20 30 5 5
San Angelo 61 76 62 85 / 10 20 5 5
Junction 62 77 64 83 / 10 20 10 5
Brownwood 63 76 65 82 / 30 30 10 5
Sweetwater 61 75 63 83 / 10 10 5 5
Ozona 59 76 61 84 / 5 10 5 5

&&

.SJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

PREVIOUS DISCUSSION...99/24
AVIATION 00Z TAFS...SJH
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