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FXUS62 KTAE 190723
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
323 AM EDT Tue Mar 19 2019

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

In the upper levels slight troughing is over the region today. At
the surface a very weak cold front or cold push will move through
this morning reinforcing the cool, dry air mass already in place.
POPs will be near zero today. Clouds will clear out by late morning
or early afternoon. Highs will be below normal in the 60s.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Thursday]...

In the upper levels slight troughing will be over the region until a
shortwave moves through tomorrow night. At the surface cool dry air
will remain in place. POPs will be near zero. Highs will be in the
mid to upper 60s tomorrow and upper 60s, lower 70s on Thursday. Lows
will be in the 40s.


.LONG TERM [Thursday Night Through Tuesday]...

In the upper levels a ridge will build into the region by Saturday
before another shortwave approaches on Tuesday. At the surface high
pressure will be in place until the next system approaches on Monday
and Tuesday. POPs will be near zero until Monday and Tuesday. Highs
will be in the 70s. Lows will be in the 40s and 50s.

&&

.AVIATION...
[Through 06Z Wednesday]

VFR conditions will continue with light northerly winds.

&&

.MARINE...

A Small Craft Advisory remains in effect until early this afternoon.
Northeasterly winds will become moderate this afternoon and increase
tonight after sunset.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...

Relative humidity will be low today but should stay above the
minimum for red flag criteria. Surface winds will be 10 to 15
mph. High dispersions over 75 are expected this afternoon.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...

Expect dry weather through this weekend. The next chance for rain
will be early next week. Most local rivers are below action stage.


&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee 69 47 69 44 72 / 0 10 0 0 0
Panama City 67 49 67 50 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dothan 65 42 66 44 68 / 0 0 0 0 10
Albany 66 41 65 43 69 / 0 0 0 0 10
Valdosta 67 45 67 43 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cross City 70 49 71 45 71 / 10 10 0 0 0
Apalachicola 67 51 67 50 68 / 0 10 0 0 0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
GA...None.
AL...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until 2 PM EDT /1 PM CDT/ this afternoon
for Coastal Waters From Ochlockonee River to Apalachicola
Fl out to 20 Nm-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach to
Apalachicola FL out 20 NM-Coastal waters from Mexico Beach
to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL out 20 NM-Waters from
Suwannee River to Apalachicola FL from 20 to 60 NM-Waters
from Apalachicola to Mexico Beach FL from 20 to 60 NM-
Waters from Mexico Beach to Okaloosa Walton County Line FL
from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

NEAR TERM...McD
SHORT TERM...McD
LONG TERM...McD
AVIATION...McD
MARINE...McD
FIRE WEATHER...McD
HYDROLOGY...McD
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