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FXUS62 KTAE 171117
AFDTAE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
617 AM EST Sat Nov 17 2018

.AVIATION...

[Through 12Z Sunday] VFR conditions are expected to prevail
through the period with clear skies and light winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION [231 AM EST]...

.NEAR TERM [Through Today]...

After another chilly start this morning, high pressure across the
region will yield sunny skies today with light winds. Afternoon
high temperatures are expected to rebound into the mid 60s to near
70 across the area.


.SHORT TERM [Tonight Through Monday]...

Surface high pressure is expected to be the dominate feature
through the short term. No major weather systems are expected
with dry weather continuing. Highs are expected to reach the upper
60s to lower 70s across most areas with overnight lows mainly in
the 40s.


.LONG TERM [Monday Night Through Saturday]...

Some weak upper level disturbances will move through the area
through the long term period. Limited moisture return is expected,
so mainly dry weather is expected to continue until perhaps the
end of the week, although there remains some model disagreement
regarding the evolution of the late week system. Some chance of
showers around the Friday time period still appears warranted.
Seasonal temperatures will prevail through this period.


.MARINE...

Moderate northerly winds and low to moderate seas are expected for
the next several days with dry weather.


.FIRE WEATHER...

Red flag conditions are not expected for the next several days.


.HYDROLOGY...

Little to no rainfall is expected for the next week. Portions of
the Chipola and Apalachicola rivers continue in flood stage with
several other rivers in action stage. Otherwise, no additional
flooding is expected.


.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...

Tallahassee 68 40 72 46 72 / 0 0 0 0 0
Panama City 67 46 70 50 70 / 0 0 0 0 0
Dothan 66 42 68 46 68 / 0 0 0 0 0
Albany 65 42 70 47 69 / 0 0 0 0 0
Valdosta 67 42 72 48 71 / 0 0 0 0 0
Cross City 69 44 75 50 75 / 0 0 0 0 0
Apalachicola 67 46 71 50 71 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST /7 AM CST/ this morning for
Calhoun-Central Walton-Gadsden-Holmes-Inland Bay-Inland
Dixie-Inland Franklin-Inland Gulf-Inland Jefferson-Inland
Taylor-Inland Wakulla-Jackson-Lafayette-Leon-Liberty-
Madison-North Walton-Washington.

GA...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EST this morning for Baker-Ben Hill-
Berrien-Brooks-Calhoun-Clay-Colquitt-Cook-Decatur-Dougherty-
Early-Grady-Irwin-Lanier-Lee-Lowndes-Miller-Mitchell-
Quitman-Randolph-Seminole-Terrell-Thomas-Tift-Turner-Worth.

AL...Frost Advisory until 7 AM CST this morning for Coffee-Dale-
Geneva-Henry-Houston.

GM...None.
&&

$$

NEAR TERM...DVD
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM...DVD
AVIATION...DVD
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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