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FXUS62 KTBW 171259
AFDTBW

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
859 AM EDT Wed Jul 17 2019

.UPDATE...
The day is starting off rather quiet with visible satellite imagery
and surface observations showing mostly clear skies across the
Florida peninsula. Temperatures are already approaching 80 degrees
and will quickly warm up to the mid 90's with heat indices in the
100-105 degree range this afternoon. The 12Z morning sounding is
showing ample moisture at 1.79 inches, which combined with daytime
heating will support scattered afternoon showers and storms. The
overall wind flow will be light southeasterly flow today, allowing
for a west coast sea breeze to push inland. Late afternoon boundary
collisions could produce some strong storms after 3 pm today with
gusty winds, frequent lightning and locally heavy rainfall. Forecast
looks good for now based on latest radar imagery, surface obs and
model guidance.

&&

.AVIATION...
Predominant VFR conditions with light southeast winds this morning,
turning onshore with an afternoon seabreeze around 18Z. Scattered
TSRA/SHRA developing between 18-21Z along the Florida west coast, so
will hold VCTS at all terminals through 00Z with some brief periods
of MVFR for low CIGs and VSBY as will as gusty winds possible in
passing storms. Winds will become light and variable once again
after 03Z tonight. No other aviation impacts expected.

&&

.MARINE...
High pressure remains over the area producing pleasant boating
conditions over the coastal waters. Winds remain 10 knots or less
through the period with seas less than 2 feet. The only hazard will
be with isolated storms and enhanced sea breeze winds along the
coast each afternoon/evening. No other marine impacts expected.

&&

.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 91 78 91 78 / 50 20 40 20
FMY 92 76 92 75 / 40 40 60 20
GIF 94 76 95 76 / 60 50 40 20
SRQ 91 77 91 76 / 30 20 40 10
BKV 94 74 93 74 / 40 10 30 20
SPG 91 80 91 80 / 40 20 30 10

&&

.TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...None.
Gulf waters...None.

&&

$$

UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...74/Wynn
UPPER AIR...19/Hurt/Flannery
DECISION SUPPORT...69/Close
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