FXUS62 KTBW 240023

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tampa Bay Ruskin FL
823 PM EDT Tue Oct 23 2018

Abundant mid and upper level moisture will continue to spread
across the region tonight into Wednesday morning as a weakening
cold front moves south and washes out over north Florida. Looking
at radar it would appear that there is a lot of rain out there,
but most of this has been virga with only some sprinkles being
reported. A few locations, especially across the Nature Coast
could see a few hundredths of an inch of rain, but most areas will
only see sprinkles. The clouds will gradually thin out during
Wednesday with partly cloudy skies returning. Overall the current
grids/forecast look on track and have only updated to adjust the
wording from showers to light rain/sprinkles for tonight.


Abundant mid and high clouds will continue to move across the area
with some patches of light rain/sprinkles tonight then gradual
clearing expected during Wednesday. VFR conditions are expected to
prevail with no restrictions anticipated. Northeast winds
overnight into Wednesday morning will shift to north northwest
near the coast during Wednesday afternoon with speeds remaining at
10 knots or less.


East to northeast winds at 15 knots or less will persist through
Wednesday then increase some Wednesday night as high pressure
builds in from the north. However, the flow will quickly veer
around to the southeast and then south Thursday ahead of a
developing area of low pressure moving along the northern Gulf
coast. During Thursday night into Friday winds will become south
to southwest with Cautionary or Small Craft conditions developing,
especially across the northern Gulf waters as an area of low
pressure moves east and passes across the northeast Gulf waters.
Winds and seas will remain elevated Friday night into Saturday as
they become northwest to north as a trailing cold front sweeps
south through the waters as deepening low pressure moves rapidly
northeastward up along the mid-Atlantic coast and surface high
pressure builds in from the west through Sunday.


.Preliminary Point Temps/PoPs...
TPA 70 85 71 85 / 20 10 10 30
FMY 70 86 72 87 / 10 10 10 20
GIF 67 85 70 86 / 20 20 10 30
SRQ 71 85 73 85 / 10 10 10 30
BKV 67 84 69 85 / 30 10 10 40
SPG 71 85 73 84 / 20 10 10 30


Gulf waters...None.


UPPER AIR...19/Hurt
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