FXUS64 KTSA 190507
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1207 AM CDT Wed Jun 19 2019
CONCERNING TAF SITES KTUL/KRVS/KBVO/KMLC/KXNA/KFYV/KFSM/KROG.
VFR TAF elements to prevail outside of thunderstorms that are
ongoing across E OK and parts of NW AR. Chances for additional
development will increase from west to east after 08z across the
NE OK sites and the remainder of the E OK/NW AR sites after
09z-11z. IFR vsbys and MVFR cigs can be expected in thunderstorms.
Activity will shift east of the NW AR sites between 12z-15z, with
TAF elements lifting to VFR categories from west to east after
12z. Additional development across SE OK and WC AR may impact
KMLC/KFSM in the 20z-00z time frame.
.PREV DISCUSSION... /Issued 957 PM CDT Tue Jun 18 2019/
Area of storms, some severe pushing southeast across parts of
northeast Oklahoma this evening. The strongest storms have
occurred across Osage, Tulsa and Rogers counties this evening
with the Skiatook mesonet reporting a 71 mph gust. Further
northeast, outflow has raced ahead of the leading edge across
Craig and Ottawa counties which indicates severe potential may be
less to the northeast of Tulsa. Severe threats of straight line
winds and large hail will continue with ongoing activity, with
primarily straight line winds with additional activity that is
expected later tonight. Have tweaked pops some through 06z, rest
of the overnight has been left as is.
Updated ZFP already sent.
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