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FXUS64 KTSA 241528
AFDTSA

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tulsa OK
1028 AM CDT Mon Sep 24 2018

...UPDATE...

.DISCUSSION...
Widespread cloud cover continued across Eastern Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas this morning as an area of low pressure
remained just to the southeast of the CWA. A few isolated showers
also continued to lift north northeast with the now more southerly
flow. Majority of this activity remained just east of the CWA
where the deeper moisture resided.

Through this afternoon...the area of low pressure is expected to
lift northeast through Arkansas with a slight chance of rain
showers remaining possible for parts of Southeast Oklahoma and
Northwest Arkansas. Again...the greater potential for precip looks
to remain to the east within the deeper moisture.

With the low exiting the region...some breaks in the cloud cover
could be possible over parts of the CWA. Latest model soundings
indicate the greater chances for this being across the western
half of the CWA. At the same time..southerly surface winds will
help to transport some low level moisture back into the CWA with
dewpoints of upper 60s/low 70s. All of these conditions will aid
in slightly warmer afternoon temperatures with mid 70s to low 80s
possible from south to north. Thus...for the morning update...have
added minor tweaks to hourly pop/temp/dewpoint/sky/wind grids to
account for latest trends. Otherwise...current forecast seems to
be in good shape at this time. Will continue to monitor the
potential for breaks in the clouds...which depending on the cover
could swing temps slightly in either direction.


&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
TUL 80 67 88 59 / 10 0 10 30
FSM 79 69 86 65 / 20 20 20 30
MLC 79 68 87 63 / 20 10 10 30
BVO 81 63 86 57 / 10 0 20 50
FYV 76 64 80 59 / 20 20 20 40
BYV 77 66 80 59 / 20 20 20 40
MKO 79 67 86 61 / 10 10 10 30
MIO 80 66 83 56 / 10 10 20 50
F10 78 67 86 60 / 10 0 10 30
HHW 77 68 88 67 / 20 10 10 20

&&

.TSA WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...None.
AR...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...20
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