Location:  
MeteoStar


ABIO10 PGTW 221800
MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//
SUBJ/SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL WEATHER ADVISORY FOR THE INDIAN
/OCEAN/221800Z-231800ZMAR2017//
RMKS/
1. NORTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (MALAY PENINSULA WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY: NONE.
2. SOUTH INDIAN OCEAN AREA (135E WEST TO COAST OF AFRICA):
A. TROPICAL CYCLONE SUMMARY: NONE.
B. TROPICAL DISTURBANCE SUMMARY:
(1) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 90S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 11.0S 98.0E, IS NOW LOCATED NEAR 10.8S 99.1E, APPROXIMATELY 150
NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF COCOS ISLAND. ANIMATED INFRARED SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND A 221151Z SSMIS 37GHZ MICROWAVE PASS DEPICT PERSISTENT
DEEP CONVECTION AND FORMATIVE BANDING WRAP WRAPPING INTO A
DEVELOPING LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC), EVIDENT IN A 221140Z
WINDSAT PASS. ENVIRONMENTAL ANALYSIS SHOWS MARGINAL CONDITIONS
DEPICTING UPPER-LEVEL DIFFLUENT OUTFLOW AND HIGH (30-40 KNOTS)
VERTICAL WIND SHEAR. GLOBAL MODELS INDICATE THE SYSTEM WILL TRACK IN
A SOUTH-SOUTHEASTWARD DIRECTION OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS ARE ESTIMATED AT 20 TO 25 KNOTS. MINIMUM SEA
LEVEL PRESSURE IS ESTIMATED TO BE NEAR 1004 MB. BASED ON THE
ANALYZED DATA, THE POTENTIAL FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT
TROPICAL CYCLONE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS REMAINS MEDIUM.
(2) THE AREA OF CONVECTION (INVEST 99S) PREVIOUSLY LOCATED
NEAR 16.0S 116.8E, HAS DISSIPATED AND IS NO LONGER SUSPECT FOR THE
DEVELOPMENT OF A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE IN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
(3) NO OTHER SUSPECT AREAS.//