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MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC

AND ATLANTIC

GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 12UTC 23.10.2018

TROPICAL DEPRESSION VICENTE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.0N 102.3W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP232018

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 23.10.2018 18.0N 102.3W WEAK
00UTC 24.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

HURRICANE WILLA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.0N 107.2W

ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP242018

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 23.10.2018 21.0N 107.2W STRONG
00UTC 24.10.2018 22.5N 106.1W MODERATE LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 24.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 18 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 18 : 12.8N 115.9W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 24.10.2018 13.2N 116.0W WEAK WEAKENING RAPIDLY
00UTC 25.10.2018 13.4N 115.8W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 25.10.2018 13.5N 116.7W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 26.10.2018 13.3N 117.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 26.10.2018 BELOW TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 26.1N 47.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
12UTC 27.10.2018 26.4N 49.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING RAPIDLY
00UTC 28.10.2018 25.8N 52.3W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.10.2018 25.2N 54.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.10.2018 25.5N 57.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.10.2018 25.5N 59.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS
FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 13.5N 160.8W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 28.10.2018 13.9N 161.2W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 28.10.2018 14.7N 161.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 29.10.2018 15.2N 162.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 29.10.2018 16.2N 162.0W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE


THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE
RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS
AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.

BULLETINS ARE NOW AVAILABLE WHICH PROVIDE EXPLICIT GUIDANCE
ON CENTRAL PRESSURE AND MAXIMUM WIND SPEED.
FOR FURTHER INFORMATION CONTACT TROPICAL_CYCLONES@METOFFICE.GOV.UK

MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK

TOO 231556