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WTNT22 KNHC 181447
TCMAT2

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWENTY-TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL222020
1500 UTC FRI SEP 18 2020

INTERESTS ALONG THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THE DEPRESSION.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 93.9W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 15 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.8N 93.9W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.5N 94.1W

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 24.8N 93.6W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 80NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 25.9N 93.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 60SE 40SW 60NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 26.3N 93.8W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 0SW 30NW.
34 KT...130NE 70SE 70SW 80NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 26.5N 94.6W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 30NW.
34 KT...140NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 26.6N 95.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE 40SE 30SW 40NW.
34 KT...150NE 90SE 80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 26.9N 96.2W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE 40SE 30SW 50NW.
34 KT...150NE 80SE 80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 27.5N 96.5W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z 28.5N 95.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.8N 93.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN