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WWUS74 KLZK 222037
NPWLZK

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
237 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...Wind Advisory for tomorrow morning thru midnight...

.A low pressure system will be developing and moving across the
region tomorrow, resulting in a strong surface pressure gradient.
This pressure gradient will result in strong and gusty winds
across portions of northwest Arkansas starting in the late morning
hours. A cold front will sweep in behind this low pressure system,
which will allow strong winds to persist thru the evening hours.

Also, in southeast Arkansas a strong low-level jet stream will
push rapidly northward into the lower Mississippi River Valley,
bringing warm and moist air rapidly northward along a warm front.
Some of these strong low-level winds will mix down toward the
surface, resulting in strong and gusty southerly winds.

ARZ003-004-012-013-034-046-047-057-064-065-230445-

Boone-Marion-Newton-Searcy-Woodruff-Prairie-Monroe-Arkansas-
Lincoln-Desha-
Including the cities of Harrison, Bull Shoals, Flippin,
Yellville, Summit, Jasper, Western Grove, Marshall, Leslie,
Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant, Des Arc, Hazen, Brinkley,
Clarendon, Stuttgart, De Witt, Star City, Gould, Dumas,
and Mcgehee
237 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM SATURDAY TO MIDNIGHT CST
SATURDAY NIGHT...

The National Weather Service in Little Rock has issued a Wind
Advisory, which is in effect from 10 AM Saturday to midnight CST
Saturday night.

* EVENT...Strong and gusty winds associated with a tight pressure
gradient and a low-level jet stream pushing northward into the
area.

* AREAS AFFECTED...Northwest Arkansas and Southeast Arkansas.

* TIMING...10 AM Saturday thru midnight.

* WINDS...25 to 30 mph with gusts to near 40 mph.

* IMPACTS...Loose outdoor items will be vulnerable to the strong
winds. Travel may become difficult and hazardous on area
roadways especially for high profile vehicles. Winds will create
rough conditions on area bodies of water.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

A Wind Advisory means that winds of 25 mph are expected. Winds
this strong can make driving difficult...especially for high
profile vehicles. Use extra caution.

&&


WGUS64 KLZK 222002
FFALZK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
202 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

ARZ034-042>047-053>057-062>069-231000-


Woodruff-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant,
Hot Springs, Hot Springs Village, Jessieville, Pearcy, Royal,
Benton, Bryant, Bauxite, Avilla, Haskell, Paron, Little Rock,
North Little Rock, Sherwood, Maumelle, Jacksonville,
Wrightsville, Cabot, Lonoke, England, Humnoke, Des Arc,
Devalls Bluff, Hazen, Ulm, Brinkley, Clarendon, Holly Grove,
Pine city, Roe, Arkadelphia, Gurdon, Amity, Okolona, Malvern,
Bismarck, Donaldson, Bonnerdale, Rockport, Glen Rose, Sheridan,
Prattsville, Poyen, Leola, Pine Bluff, Humphrey, Redfield,
Altheimer, Stuttgart, De Witt, Gillett, Saint Charles, Fordyce,
Princeton, Manning, Sparkman, Kingsland, Rison, Mount Elba, Rye,
Star City, Gould, Grady, Garrett Bridge, Dumas, Mcgehee, Rohwer,
Arkansas City, Camden, Bearden, Chidester, Stephens, Hampton,
Thornton, Tinsman, Harrell, Warren, Hermitage, Moro Bay, Banks,
Vick, Monticello, Lacey, Collins, Montongo, and Wilmar
202 PM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of CENTRAL ARKANSAS, EASTERN ARKANSAS, SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS, and SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, including the following
areas, in CENTRAL ARKANSAS, Garland, Grant, Lonoke, Prairie,
Pulaski, and Saline. In EASTERN ARKANSAS, Monroe and Woodruff.
In SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS, Arkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Desha,
Drew, Jefferson, and Lincoln. In SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, Calhoun,
Clark, Dallas, Hot Spring, and Ouachita.

* Through Saturday afternoon

* Several additional rounds of showers and thunderstorms are
expected through Saturday afternoon. The rain will be heavy at
times. Additional rainfall of one to two inches is expected
with localized heavier amounts exceeding three inches possible.

* With already saturated ground, it will not take much rain to
cause promote flash flooding.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means
that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash
flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.

&&

FGUS84 KLZK 221710
RVSLZK
ARC001-003-011-013-019-021-025-029-041-043-045-049-059-063-067-069-
075-079-095-099-103-105-115-117-119-121-125-129-135-139-145-147-149-
231710-
HYDROLOGIC STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1110 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...Daily River Forecast...

Flood Obs Forecast for 6 AM
Location Stage Stage Day Time Sat Sun Mon Tue Wed
Arkansas River
Dardanelle 1 32 7.7 Fri 09 AM 8.0 8.9 9.0 8.7 8.4
Morrilton 30 12.4 Fri 10 AM 12.3 13.7 13.7 13.0 12.4
Toad Suck Loc 275 259.1 Fri 10 AM 254.1 257.2 258.1 257.0 255.9
Little Rock 23 9.5 Fri 09 AM 7.8 8.0 8.3 8.1 7.9
Pine Bluff 42 34.4 Fri 10 AM 32.6 32.1 32.4 32.3 32.1
Pendleton 31 28.3 Fri 10 AM M M M M M
Buffalo River
St Joe 27 8.6 Fri 10 AM 7.7 8.3 7.6 6.8 6.2
Spring River
Hardy 10 5.1 Fri 10 AM 5.2 5.8 5.4 5.0 4.7
Imboden 18 9.1 Fri 10 AM 8.9 11.4 10.5 8.9 7.9
Little Red River
Judsonia 30 27.4 Fri 10 AM 26.6 27.9 25.9 24.6 23.9
Cache River
Patterson 9 12.0 Fri 10 AM 12.1 12.3 12.5 12.5 12.5
Black River
Corning 15 12.0 Fri 10 AM 11.9 11.8 12.3 12.3 12.0
Pocahontas 17 20.2 Fri 10 AM 20.5 20.9 21.0 20.7 20.4
Black Rock 14 22.8 Fri 10 AM 22.4 22.7 23.0 22.9 22.4
Ouachita River
Arkadelphia 17 12.3 Fri 09 AM 12.0 13.0 12.3 11.8 11.6
Camden 26 27.2 Fri 09 AM 30.1 31.4 31.9 32.3 32.7
Thatcher L&D 79 83.1 Fri 09 AM 83.7 84.4 85.0 85.4 85.6
Little Missouri River
Boughton 20 10.8 Fri 09 AM 9.0 9.4 10.5 8.6 7.0
Saline River
Benton 18 7.5 Fri 09 AM 7.4 9.9 8.4 6.6 5.7
Rye 26 22.4 Fri 10 AM 22.9 23.5 23.8 23.9 23.8
White River
Batesville 15 10.2 Fri 10 AM 9.3 9.0 8.9 8.2 7.5
Newport 26 26.9 Fri 10 AM 26.8 26.3 25.6 24.6 23.4
Augusta 26 32.9 Fri 10 AM 33.0 33.0 32.8 32.7 32.4
Georgetown 21 24.6 Fri 10 AM 24.5 24.6 24.5 24.3 24.0
Des Arc 24 28.6 Fri 09 AM 28.6 28.5 28.3 28.1 28.0
Clarendon 26 30.9 Fri 10 AM 31.1 31.3 31.5 31.3 31.2


Please send comments...suggestions...flood reports
to sr-lzk.river@noaa.gov


View stage data and forecast graphs on our Advanced
Prediction Service web page located at www.weather.gov/lzk
and selecting the Rivers and Lakes AHPS link.




WGUS84 KLZK 221623
FLSLZK


FLOOD STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...From the National Weather Service in Little Rock...the Flood
Warning continues for the following river in ...

White River At Newport affecting Independence and Jackson Counties

White River At Augusta affecting White and Woodruff Counties

White River At Georgetown affecting Prairie...White and Woodruff
Counties

White River At Des Arc affecting Prairie County

White River At Clarendon affecting Arkansas and Monroe Counties


River forecasts are based on current conditions and rainfall
forecasted to occur over the next 48 hours. During periods of
flooding...Evening forecasts are reissued with updated rainfall
forecasts.

Observed and forecasted stage data plots are available on our
Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service web page at...
www.weather.gov/lzk
Under the Current Conditions section...Select River and Lakes AHPS.


PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Safety message...Remember to Turn Around...Don't Drown
Do not drive cars through flooded areas.

Everyone with property or other interest along streams and rivers
should remain alert to changing weather forecasts. Should conditions
change...Look for river forecasts or Flood Warnings for use in making
informed decisions to protect life and property.

&&

ARC063-067-230722-


1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The White River At Newport.
* until late Monday night...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 26.8 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river is cresting near 27 feet and is expected
to fall over the weekend.
* Impacts at 27.0 feet...State Highway 14 between Newport and Oil
Trough and State Highway 122 to Newark affected. Possible
structural flooding along State Highway 14 in Independence County.
Bateman Levee patrolling begins.


&&


Fld Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date

Lower White River
Newport 26 26.8 Fri 09 AM 26.8 26.3 25.6 27.0 12 PM 02/22


&&


LAT...LON 3537 9150 3550 9141 3570 9140 3564 9128
3548 9127 3534 9136






ARC145-147-230722-


1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The White River At Augusta.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 32.9 feet.
* Minor flooding is occurring and Minor flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...As water routes from upstream, the river will remain
nearly steady. Expect to see a slow fall the middle of
next week.
* Impacts at 33.0 feet...Thousands of acres of cropland and farm
roads are flooded in White and Woodruff counties. Water is isolating
homes and camps along the river in White and Woodruff counties.

&&


Fld Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date

Lower White River
Augusta 26 32.9 Fri 09 AM 33.0 33.0 32.8 STEADY


&&


LAT...LON 3514 9152 3525 9146 3537 9150 3534 9136
3521 9133 3515 9137






ARC117-145-147-230722-


1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The White River At Georgetown.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 24.6 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 21.0 feet.
* Forecast...As water routes from upstream, the river will remain
nearly steady. Expect to see a slow fall the middle of
next week.
* Impacts at 24.0 feet...State Highway 36 to Georgetown may be
flooding due to backwater up Little Red River, especially during
locally heavy rainfall or high White River stage. Levee on north
side of the Little Red River protecting the Bald Knob National
Wildlife Refuge, primarily cropland, may be overtopped.


&&


Fld Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date

Lower White River
Georgetown 21 24.6 Fri 09 AM 24.5 24.6 24.5 STEADY


&&


LAT...LON 3500 9155 3508 9151 3514 9152 3515 9137
3506 9139 3498 9142






ARC117-230722-


1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The White River At Des Arc.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:15 AM Friday the measured stage was 28.6 feet.
* Flood stage is 24.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will likely hold above 28.5 feet due to
forecasted rain, but will begin to fall by early next week.
* Impacts at 28.0 feet...Several roads in and around Des Arc are
likley impacted by high water including Horseshoe Lake Road and
Hill Lake Road.


&&


Fld Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date

Lower White River
Des Arc 24 28.6 Fri 09 AM 28.6 28.5 28.3 STEADY


&&


LAT...LON 3466 9139 3477 9150 3500 9155 3498 9142
3482 9138 3472 9129






ARC001-095-230722-


1023 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

The Flood Warning continues for
The White River At Clarendon.
* until further notice...Or until the warning is cancelled.
* At 9:00 AM Friday the stage was 30.9 feet.
* Moderate flooding is occurring and Moderate flooding is forecast.
* Flood stage is 26.0 feet.
* Forecast...The river will continue rising to near 31.5 feet by
Monday morning.
* Impacts at 30.0 feet...Clarendon storm sewer should be closed to
keep river from backing up outflow pipe. Extensive flooding in
the delta. Most cropland and timber in bottoms are flooded. Much
of the National Wildlife Refuge land downstream of Clarendon will
be flooded.
* Impacts at 32.0 feet...State Highway 302 north of Clarendon may be
affected. Some industrial property in Clarendon on river side of
levee may be flooded. Many access problems for recreational
properties downstream of Clarendon. Many downstream areas are
accessable by boat only. Height and duration of flooding along the
lower White River is greatly dependant on the level of the
Mississippi River in combination with the flow rate of the White
River.


&&


Fld Observed Forecast 6 AM Crest
Location Stg Stg Day Time Sat Sun Mon Crest Time Date

Lower White River
Clarendon 26 30.9 Fri 09 AM 31.1 31.3 31.5 31.5 06 AM 02/25


&&


LAT...LON 3435 9119 3449 9132 3466 9139 3472 9129
3455 9120 3442 9108






61

WGUS64 KLZK 220927
FFALZK

Flood Watch
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
327 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

ARZ034-042>047-053>057-062>069-222300-


Woodruff-Garland-Saline-Pulaski-Lonoke-Prairie-Monroe-Clark-
Hot Spring-Grant-Jefferson-Arkansas-Dallas-Cleveland-Lincoln-
Desha-Ouachita-Calhoun-Bradley-Drew-
Including the cities of Augusta, McCrory, Cotton Plant,
Hot Springs, Hot Springs Village, Jessieville, Pearcy, Royal,
Benton, Bryant, Bauxite, Avilla, Haskell, Paron, Little Rock,
North Little Rock, Sherwood, Maumelle, Jacksonville,
Wrightsville, Cabot, Lonoke, England, Humnoke, Des Arc,
Devalls Bluff, Hazen, Ulm, Brinkley, Clarendon, Holly Grove,
Pine city, Roe, Arkadelphia, Gurdon, Amity, Okolona, Malvern,
Bismarck, Donaldson, Bonnerdale, Rockport, Glen Rose, Sheridan,
Prattsville, Poyen, Leola, Pine Bluff, Humphrey, Redfield,
Altheimer, Stuttgart, De Witt, Gillett, Saint Charles, Fordyce,
Princeton, Manning, Sparkman, Kingsland, Rison, Mount Elba, Rye,
Star City, Gould, Grady, Garrett Bridge, Dumas, Mcgehee, Rohwer,
Arkansas City, Camden, Bearden, Chidester, Stephens, Hampton,
Thornton, Tinsman, Harrell, Warren, Hermitage, Moro Bay, Banks,
Vick, Monticello, Lacey, Collins, Montongo, and Wilmar
327 AM CST Fri Feb 22 2019

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH SATURDAY
AFTERNOON...

The Flash Flood Watch continues for

* Portions of CENTRAL ARKANSAS, EASTERN ARKANSAS, SOUTHEAST
ARKANSAS, and SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, including the following
areas, in CENTRAL ARKANSAS, Garland, Grant, Lonoke, Prairie,
Pulaski, and Saline. In EASTERN ARKANSAS, Monroe and Woodruff.
In SOUTHEAST ARKANSAS, Arkansas, Bradley, Cleveland, Desha,
Drew, Jefferson, and Lincoln. In SOUTHWEST ARKANSAS, Calhoun,
Clark, Dallas, Hot Spring, and Ouachita.

* Through Saturday afternoon

* Several rounds of showers and thunderstorms are expected
through Saturday. The rain will be heavy at times. Amounts of
one to two inches are expected with localized heavier amounts
exceeding three inches possible.

* With already saturated ground, it will not take much rain to
cause flash flooding issues.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... A Flash Flood Watch means
that conditions may develop that lead to flash flooding. Flash
flooding is a very dangerous situation.

You should monitor later forecasts and be prepared to take action
should Flash Flood Warnings be issued.
&&