Location:  
MeteoStar


Weather Alert - Caddo
Click here for NWS Zone Forecast


FGUS84 KSHV 201606
RVSSHV
ARC027-057-061-073-081-091-099-133-139-LAC013-015-017-021-027-
031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-OKC089-TXC005-
037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-405-
419-423-449-459-499-211906-


Hydrologic Statement...Delayed
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1106 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019

Flood 7 AM Daily forecasts at 7 AM
Location Stage Stage Fri Sat Sun Mon Tue
Dekalb 24 21.1 23.1 23.4 23.0 22.5 21.9
Fulton 27 13.3 12.9 14.2 15.2 14.8 13.8
Shreveport 30 26.7 26.4 26.1 26.1 26.4 26.5
Coushatta 31 28.1 28.1 28.0 27.8 27.9 28.0
Grand Ecore 33 28.4 28.4 28.2 27.9 27.9 28.0
Alexandria 32 25.2 25.1 25.1 24.9 24.8 24.7
Felsenthal 70 74.3 74.0 73.8 73.6 73.5 73.3
Monroe 40 37.6 37.4 37.2 37.0 36.8 36.6
Columbia 65 61.1 61.0 60.9 60.8 60.7 60.7
Caddo Lake 172 M 170.0 170.0 170.0 170.0 170.0
Glover 16 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9 3.9

Flows...CFS for navigation through Red River Waterway

Shreveport 79100 76914 74054 74159 76731 78362
Coushatta 83053 82305 79792 77761 78567 80739
Grand Ecore 83728 83280 81338 78907 78630 80409


Little River summary of SE Oklahoma and SW Arkansas: Remain
near 1/2 bankfull through Tuesday.


River forecasts include forecast rainfall for the next 24 hours.



FGUS74 KSHV 201604
ESFSHV
ARC027-057-061-073-081-091-099-133-139-LAC013-015-017-021-027-
031-043-049-059-061-069-073-081-085-111-119-127-OKC089-TXC005-
037-063-067-073-159-183-203-315-343-347-365-387-401-403-405-
419-423-449-459-499-211005-


Probabilistic Hydrologic Outlook
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
1104 AM CDT Thu Jun 20 2019


...Advanced Hydrologic Prediction Service (AHPS) long range
probabilistic outlook for the Sabine River basin of East Texas...


In the table below...the 90 through 10 percent columns indicate the
chance the river could rise above the listed stage levels during
the next 90 days. For example...the Sabine River near Mineola
Texas flood stage is 14 feet. There is a 50 percent chance the
Sabine River will rise above 15.7 feet during the next 90 days.


Chance of exceeding stages at specific locations
valid for June 20 - September 19 2019


Location FS 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
------------------ -- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

Lake Fork Creek
Quitman 4S 16 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.1 16.2 16.3 16.4 18.1
Sabine River
Mineola 4S 14 15.7 15.7 15.7 15.7 15.7 15.8 16.3 16.9 17.3
Gladewater 3WSW 26 26.1 26.1 26.2 26.4 27.4 28.3 30.4 32.3 32.9
Longview 25 21.6 21.6 21.7 22.0 22.3 23.2 25.6 27.1 28.5
Beckville 8NE 26 18.9 19.0 19.1 19.6 20.0 20.9 22.8 24.2 25.8
Logansport 28 24.7 24.8 24.9 25.1 25.3 26.0 26.5 27.2 29.9
Big Sandy Creek
Big Sandy 4NE 17 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.8 12.9 13.1 13.8 14.5
Rabbit Creek
Kilgore 10 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.4 10.8 11.2 12.9


Location 90% 80% 70% 60% 50% 40% 30% 20% 10%
----------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- -----
Lk Cherokee 280.3 280.3 280.3 280.3 280.3 280.3 280.3 280.4 280.5
Lk Martin 305.9 306.0 306.0 306.1 306.1 306.1 306.2 306.3 306.4
Lk Murvaul 265.4 265.4 265.4 265.4 265.5 265.8 265.8 266.1 266.9

This long range probabilistic outlook uses probabilities computed
using multiple scenarios from 60 years of historical climatological
and stream flow data. These probabilities also account for the
current river flows and soil moisture conditions. By providing the
complete range of probabilistic numbers...the level of risk
associated with long range planning decisions can be determined.

Additional supportive data and explanations are available on the
internet at this URL: http:index.php?wfo=shv
(internet address URL is all lower case).

Long range probabilistic outlooks are issued during the third
Thursday of every month.



Atlantic
Tropical Watch