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ACUS03 KWNS 050819

SWODY3

SPC AC 050818



DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0218 AM CST SUN FEB 05 2012



VALID 071200Z - 081200Z



...SYNOPSIS...

WITH MEAN TROUGHING OVER THE EASTERN CONUS ON

TUESDAY...AMPLIFIED/SPLIT UPPER FLOW WILL CONTINUE TO PREVAIL OVER

WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE CONUS/CANADA. DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE

PERIOD...IT SEEMS PROBABLE THAT A PORTION OF AN EASTERN PACIFIC

TROUGH WILL SLIDE SOUTHEASTWARD ALONG THE CA COAST WITHIN THE

SOUTHERN STREAM. WHILE A VIRTUALLY NIL TSTM POTENTIAL WILL EXIST FOR

MOST AREAS...ISOLATED TSTM POTENTIAL MAY EXIST FOR PORTIONS OF

COASTAL CA.



FOR CA COASTAL AREAS...A FEW TSTMS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY FOR THE

OFFSHORE WATERS AND ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS OF CENTRAL/SOUTHERN CA

TUESDAY AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TUESDAY EVENING/NIGHT. GIVEN THE

EXPECTED TIMING AND MOVEMENT OF THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER

TROUGH/ASSOCIATED FRONT...LIMITED MOISTENING/DESTABILIZATION INLAND

IS CURRENTLY EXPECTED TO PRECLUDE A SEVERE RISK.



..GUYER.. 02/05/2012